"We expect a difficult political battle during and after the election to trigger a new round of negative news flow," said Anastasia Golovach of Renaissance Capital in Kiev. "Investors could decide to sell some instruments [stocks and bonds] because the stabilization of the political situation in unlikely in the short term," she said.
Ukraine's benchmark PFTS stock index rose 90% in hryvna terms last year after tumbling 74% in 2008. In dollar terms, the index rallied 83% in 2009, just as much as it dropped the previous year. Still, over the last decade, the index has surged 858% in dollar terms and 1,366% in hryvna terms, according to data from the PFTS Stock Exchange.
"Liquidity is very poor here, but if we have a stable political situation and a stable exchange rate for a few months, investors will start looking at this country," Abromavicius said.
The market capitalization of the PFTS, which consists of 20 companies, was $10.1 billion last year. The sectors that stand out are steel and iron ore, utilities and banks.